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Finance

Is This the Best Time to Buy Gold? Analyzing Short-Term Factors and Long-Term Potential

Gold's short-term blues: Dollar strength and rate worries push prices down. But long-term outlook shines with potential interest rate cuts and safe-haven appeal. Is this the time to buy?

Vikatan English Editorial

Gold prices have witnessed a consecutive decline, reaching a two-week low in the futures market. As investors ponder whether this trend will persist, experts offer insights into the factors at play and the potential outlook for gold.

Factors Influencing Gold Prices

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While short-term pressures on gold prices are evident, long-term prospects remain influenced by various factors. Currently, the strengthening US dollar and an uptick in the bond market contribute to the downward pressure on gold. However, anticipation of central bank interest rate cuts could drive a reversal in the long term.

Short-Term Forecast

With strong US non-farm labor data and comments from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ruling out a rate cut in the near future, short-term expectations lean towards further price declines. This presents an opportunity for long-term investors to capitalize on potential dips.

Long-Term Drivers

Political tensions, geopolitical uncertainties, inflation concerns, and prospects of interest rate cuts are among the factors anticipated to buoy gold prices in the long term. While technical indicators suggest a short-term bearish sentiment, optimism surrounding future interest rate cuts and ongoing global tensions could bolster gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.

India's Role in Gold Demand

Gold Price Hike - Gold

India's affinity for gold extends beyond ornamental purposes, with gold emerging as a significant investment avenue. The launch of gold bonds by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) further cements gold's status as a preferred investment option. With bond sales set to commence soon, gold investments in India are expected to witness a surge, contributing to potential future price hikes.

Data in this section is not a buy/sell recommendation but only a compilation of information on various technical/volume-based parameters

Analyst certifies that all of the views, if any, expressed in this report reflect his personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Analyst affirms that there exists no conflict of interest that can bias his views in this report. The Analyst does not hold any share(s) in the company/ies discussed.

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